22.05.2009

Friday, 22nd May, 2009

 

Overview:

Reasonable sell-off across the markets.  General depression in prices across most sectors.  Not a major sell off however with prices rebounding in the last half hour.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see a reasonable up day tomorrow however I haven’t positioned the portfolio particularly bullishly.  I expect next week to be down or sideways – which would be healthy for a continuation of the bulls.  An odd divergence occurred today in the form of strong dollar weakness but a dropping in commodity prices.  Equities down hard but the NZDUSD was still up – this is very odd.

New Trades

Option trades:

RHT – long June 20 calls at $.78

          Formed a textbook flag after breaking resistance.

Stock Trades:

 

FX Trades:

USDJPY fallen off sharply – missed a great entry point.  Still trying to get in but just cant pull the trigger at these levels – ideally there would be strong dollar strength tomorrow providing entry.

NZDUSD is still remarkably strong.  Forming a 6 month head and shoulders – I think this has potential for a big rally in the next two to three months.  Any break above 61 ill look to enter with a target of the high 60’s.

 

Trade Track

 

             
     

Options

           

Ticker

Type

Entry

Stop

Current

Target

P&L

MTB

Put

 $       2.50

 $    54.00

 $       3.15

 $    43.00

 $       0.65

TRV

Put

 $       1.90

 $    41.00

 $       1.98

$36

 $       0.08

SNDK

Put

 $       1.14

 $    15.00

 $       1.36

 $    12.00

 $       0.22

IAG

Call

 $       0.83

 $    13.00

 $       0.83

 $    13.00

-$      0.01

NTRS

Put

 $       0.90

 $    47.00

 $       0.75

 $    47.00

-$      0.15

FMX

Call

 $       0.85

 $    36.50

 $       0.38

 $    36.50

-$      0.48

RHT

Call

 $       0.78

 $    17.50

 $       0.80

 $    21.50

 $       0.02

           

 $       0.34

             
             
             
             

Stock

           

Ticker

Direction

Entry

Stop

Current

Target

P&L

PCX

Long

 $       9.41

 $       7.50

 $       9.16

 $    13.00

-$      0.25

UNG

Long

 $    15.26

 $    12.50

 $    14.13

 $    25.00

-$      1.13

             
             
           

-$      1.38

     
             
             
             
             
             
             
             

 

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